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Tuesday, June 4, 2024

Analyzing the Latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) Data

The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics provides valuable insights into the current state of the U.S. labor market. Let's take a closer look at the key findings and what they mean for the economy.



Total nonfarm job openings declined by 3.5% month-over-month and 18.6% year-over-year, indicating a significant decrease in available job positions. This trend is consistent across most sectors, with manufacturing experiencing the most pronounced decline at 5.5% month-over-month and 20.2% year-over-year.


Despite the decline in job openings, total nonfarm hires increased slightly by 0.4% month-over-month, although they decreased by 5.2% year-over-year. This suggests that while hiring activity has slowed compared to the previous year, it has not come to a complete standstill.


Separations in the total nonfarm sector increased by 0.8% month-over-month but decreased by 3.5% year-over-year. Interestingly, "other separations" (which include retirements, deaths, and disabilities) saw a significant increase of 9.1% month-over-month and 8.4% year-over-year. This trend may warrant further investigation to understand the underlying causes.


Quits, often seen as a measure of worker confidence in the labor market, remained unchanged in the total private sector month-over-month but decreased by 7.7% year-over-year. Total nonfarm quits increased by 2.9% month-over-month but decreased by 2.9% year-over-year.


Layoffs and discharges in the total nonfarm sector decreased by 5.4% month-over-month and 7.4% year-over-year, indicating that fewer workers are being involuntarily separated from their jobs.


In conclusion, the latest JOLTS data presents a mixed picture of the U.S. labor market. While job openings have declined across most sectors, the changes in hires, separations, quits, and layoffs vary. The manufacturing sector seems to be facing more significant challenges, with a sharp decline in job openings. As always, it is essential to monitor these trends over time to gauge the overall health of the labor market and its potential impact on the broader economy.

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