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Monday, February 3, 2025

Tariff Wars & Trade Flows: A Look at G20 Protectionism

 Introduction

Tariffs—taxes on imports—are a cornerstone of trade policy, balancing protection for domestic industries with consumer access to affordable goods. In 2023, the G20 nations, representing 80% of global GDP, showcase stark contrasts in tariff strategies. Let’s unpack their average tariff rates and what they reveal about economic priorities.

G20 Countries: Average Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) Tariff Rates

CountrySimple Avg. MFN TariffWeighted Avg. MFN TariffKey Notes
Argentina~14.3%~11.2%High tariffs on autos, textiles, and agri.
Australia~2.7%~1.3%Low barriers, focus on open trade.
Brazil~13.6%~8.0%High industrial/agri tariffs.
Canada~3.9%~1.7%Lower tariffs due to USMCA/CUSMA.
China~9.8%~4.1%Reduced tariffs post-WTO accession.
France (EU)~5.1%~2.8%Follows EU Common External Tariff.
Germany (EU)~5.1%~2.8%Same as EU average.
India~13.5%~6.3%High tariffs on electronics, autos, agri.
Indonesia~8.3%~4.5%Protective tariffs on agri/consumer goods.
Italy (EU)~5.1%~2.8%EU-wide tariff structure.
Japan~4.0%~2.1%Low tariffs except for sensitive sectors.
Mexico~7.0%~3.8%USMCA reduces tariffs with NAFTA partners.
Russia~6.0%~3.5%Sanctions and trade restrictions impact.
Saudi Arabia~5.0%~2.7%Low due to energy-focused economy.
South Africa~7.2%~3.9%Moderate tariffs, higher on manufactured.
South Korea~13.7%~6.9%High agri tariffs, low industrial.
Turkey~10.6%~5.2%Protective tariffs on agri and textiles.
United Kingdom~5.7%~2.5%Post-Brexit tariffs align with WTO rules.
United States~3.3%~1.6%Low overall, but spikes in sectors like textiles.
European Union~5.1%~2.8%Common External Tariff applies to all members.





The bar plots above highlight two key metrics:

  • Simple Average: Treats all products equally.

  • Weighted Average: Reflects the actual value of imports (e.g., high-value goods like semiconductors get more weight).

Top Protectors:

  • Argentina (14.3%)Brazil (13.6%), and India (13.5%) lead in simple averages, shielding industries like agriculture and automobiles.

  • South Korea (13.7%) surprises with high simple tariffs, driven by protections for rice and livestock.

Free-Trade Champions:

  • Australia (2.7%) and United States (3.3%) maintain low barriers, prioritizing open markets.

  • The EU (5.1%) and Japan (4.0%) balance protection for sensitive sectors (e.g., EU dairy, Japanese rice) with liberal industrial tariffs.


Why Weighted Averages Matter

Weighted averages often tell a different story:

  • China’s weighted tariff drops to 4.1% (vs. 9.8% simple), as it imports high-value tech goods at low rates.

  • Brazil’s weighted average (8.0%) remains high, reflecting tariffs on heavily imported machinery and chemicals.


Sectoral Battlegrounds

  1. Agriculture:

    • India slaps tariffs as high as 150% on wine and 40% on apples.

    • The EU protects its farmers with 10–15% tariffs on grains.

  2. Industrial Goods:

    • The U.S. charges just 2.5% on cars but 25% on trucks.

    • Emerging economies like Turkey impose 20%+ tariffs on textiles to boost local manufacturing.



Data Sources & Caveats


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